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"Wealth creation through systematic investment"

We all are investing to make more than what we have invested so that we can have more purchasing power in future.

Shared here are some of the ideas on how to create wealth out of your savings through systematic and organised investing in all spheres of investment portfolio. Effort here is to identify those areas where investment could fetch greater returns in long term perspective

We believe there should be mix of insurance policies, equities, bonds/ debt instruments, mutual funds, precious metals, real estate properties, loans in your portfolio to make your investment wealthy.

Investing in stock market, debt instruments, mutual funds, real estate without proper evaluation are prone the risk of 'loss of capital' due to general financial risk of market, promotors & operators not acting in bonafide interest of small investors etc

The issues posted here are only a fig of a tree and investor who are investing their hard earned money are advised to independently analyse the issues or consult an investment advisor before making any decision.

"CAUTIONARY NOTE" - this blog is not responsible for any loss, whatsoever . please do consult an investment advisor if your not able to evaluate the investment / economic / risk scenario independently

feel free to contact us at
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Saturday, November 13, 2010

Is Nifty and Sensex headed for another round of correction

Investors in the Indian stock market saw their wealth eroded by Rs 1.6 lakh crore today as the benchmark Sensex plummetted by about 432 points over negative global cues and poor industrial growth data .

Selling activity intensified across the board as sell-off in China and disappointing September IIP data back home spooked sentiments. All the sectoral indices were in the negative territory with realty, metals and banks worst hit.

Chinese markets were under pressure on expectations that the government tighten credit to contain inflation which hit a 25-month high in October. Shanghai Composite tanked 5.30 per cent. Indian Index of industrial production for the month of September fell to 4.4 per cent lower than the previous month's revised annual growth of 6.92 percent. The street was expecting growth of 6.4 per cent. The September IIP data is the lowest in 15 months.


 Total investor wealth , measured in terms of cumulative market capitalisation of all listed companies in the country, dropped to Rs 74.69 lakh crore at the end of today's session. It stood at about Rs 73 lakh crore on Thursday, the previous trading day.

The 30-share index Sensex declined by 432.20 points, or 2.1 per cent, to 20,156.89 today. This is the steepest decline registered by the Sensex since a 467-point fall on May 19, 2010.

Market breadth turned negative on the NSE with 1968 declines against 1180 advances.
Marketmen attributed friday's debacle to weak cues from Europe and China, as well as poor domestic industrial production numbers for the month of September.

"This is a knee-jerk reaction to the negative news flow from the global markets. Dalal Steet was already in a bearish mood, which became worse after the IIP numbers almost halved to 4.4 per cent for the month of September as against the year-ago period," SMC Capitals Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.
The descent of the index was led by blue-chips Reliance Industries , ICICI Bank , SBI and DLF .


At the close of today's trade, market capitalisation of the country's most valued firm, Reliance Industries, stood at Rs 3.47 lakh crore, while state-run ONGC and software major TCS's valuations were Rs 2.79 lakh crore and Rs 2.06 lakh crore, respectively.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/market-news/Debacle-on-Dalal-Street-erodes-investor-wealth-by-Rs-160K-crore/articleshow/6914334.cms
 
IS HISTORY REPEATING ITSELF i take you all to a report dated 27 jan 2010
 
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/market-news/BSE-Sensex-drops-6th-day-at-12-week-closing-low/articleshow/5505583.cms
 
the content of which is reproduced
 

The BSE Sensex fell for a sixth session on Wednesday, sliding 2.9 percent to its lowest close in nearly 12 weeks, as investors joined a regional sell-off on concerns China's efforts to cool credit demand could hurt global recovery.

Financial stocks led the drop on caution ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) monetary policy on Friday that is widely expected to tighten banks' reserve requirements.

The 30-share BSE index dropped 2.92 percent, its biggest one-day fall in nearly three months, and ended down 490.64 points at 16,289.82. Only one of its components closed in the green.

It posted the longest run of losses in nearly three months and matched a six-day slide to early November last year.

A.V. Srikanth, executive director of private wealth management at Anand Rathi Financial Services, said the market was catching up with falls in Europe and Asia since Tuesday, when the domestic bourse was closed for a holiday.

"We are bearing the brunt of yesterday's and today's decline in world stocks," he said. "People are also jittery before the RBI policy."

Global stock markets fell again on Wednesday as investors were worried about a monetary squeeze from central banks around the world and also the impact of tightening U.S. banking regulation.



Foreign funds have pulled out $676 million from Indian equities in the last four sessions. They had moved in $17.5 billion in 2009 and powered a 81 percent rally in the main index.

Top lender State Bank of India fell as much as 5.7 percent as investors worried about its outlook and asset quality after it reported December quarter results on Monday evening.

State Bank said it expected steady loan growth for the full year but warned that surplus deposits and higher bad debt could impact profits in the March quarter.

"Though margin improvement was better than expected but increase in NPAs (non-performing assets), lower coverage and increase in duration risk remain overhangs on SBI's earnings, in our view," JPMorgan said in a note obtained by Reuters.

State Bank ended down 5.1 percent at 1,987.15 rupees, while rival ICICI Bank dropped nearly 5 percent to 790.20 rupees.

Metals makers fell as an appreciating dollar and on worry further policy tightening in China and proposed U.S. bank regulations could stifle demand for metals.

Tata Steel , the world's eighth-largest steel maker by output, dropped 8.5 percent to 558.70 rupees while non-ferrous metals producer Sterlite Industries shed 4 percent to 770.05 rupees.

Aluminium maker Hindalco fell 5.7 percent to 150.10 rupees. Its December quarter net profit had dropped 22 percent and missed the street view.

Export-focused outsourcers declined on fears U.S. President Barack Obama's plan to limit risk-taking by banks might hit their order flow.

Infosys Technologies and Tata Consultancy Services lost 1.6 percent each, while Wipro shed 5.8 percent.

Energy giant Reliance Industries , which has the highest weightage on the main index, closed 1.5 percent lower at 1,025.85 rupees.


CONCLUSION

Corrections are always good for Bull market i think market will correct 8-10 percent across all asset classes
all across the board 'including this' there were news floating that sensex and nifty shall scale new highs
so some fear is lurking some where
and we need good pricing for indian stock so that FII may buy more at those prices
existing FII investors will try to seek frenzy in this market to cause retailers to sell low so that they can buy more at lower price
indian nifty vix at 11 percent tells us volatility is at helm
so be cautious in one to two months book profits and maintain some cash (35-40 percent)would be useful to buy when market corrects
PLEASE ALLOW SENSEX TO CORRECT TO 19350 AND NIFTY TO 5835
for a risk free sustainable upmove

4 comments:

  1. Global factors that helped Indian bourses rise by over 10% in November 2009 may continue to power a short-term bull run next week as well as investors turn to risky assets following sliding dollar against a basket of currencies.

    Analysts credited sustained rally from the intra-day low of 15,330.56 on November 3, first trading day of the month, to a high of 16,909.74 on November 13, to dollar's fall to a 15- month low during the week under review.

    Key driver of the market, however, was foreign investors as they bought shares worth $774.2 million in November, taking their total purchases to $14.8 billion so far in the calendar year 2009.

    Investor sentiment also got a big boost after the government's disinvestment talk and assurance to keep stimulus packages until the global economy showed recovery. The Centre also disclosed its plan of a phased exit of fiscal stimulus.

    India's industrial production, too, registered a robust 9.1% growth in September 2009.

    In the week ended November 13, the Bombay Stock Exchange 30-share barometer gained 690.55 points, or 4.27%, to end the week at 16,848.83 over its last weekend's close.

    The National Stock Exchange's 50-share Nifty settled at 4,998.95, a net rise of 202.80 points, or 4.23%, from its previous weekend's close.

    http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/Sensex-soars-10-in-November-as-dollar-slides/articleshow/5230116.cms

    ReplyDelete
  2. Sensex is now trading close to PE of 24x as against the average of 18x for the decade
    just go through the following feature to enlightlen yourself
    http://www.tflindia.in/2010/11/sensex-pe-ratio.html

    ReplyDelete
  3. The chronicles of Sensex from 1000 (1990)to 21000(2008)http://www.indiabulls.com/securities/market/Useful_Information/sensexjrny/sensexjrny.htm

    ReplyDelete
  4. sensex touch 19320 and nifty 5800 on 25.11.2010 as predicted 13.11.2010

    it seems the investors are up with fear from the loan scam and keeping away from buys

    it seem that upmove shall start from 1st dec 2010 onwards

    ReplyDelete

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